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Allister Hodge's Projects

-var-historicalvar icon -var-historicalvar

Value at Risk (VaR) is the regulatory measurement for assessing market risk. It reports the maximum likely loss on a portfolio for a given probability defined as x% confidence level. VaR is vital in market risk management and control. Also regulatory and economic capital computation is based on VaR

a-bayesian-variable-selection-method-for-skewed-and-heteroscedastic-response icon a-bayesian-variable-selection-method-for-skewed-and-heteroscedastic-response

We propose new Bayesian methods with proper theoretical justification for selecting and estimating a sparse regression coefficient vector for skewed heteroscedastic response. Our novel Bayesian procedures effectively estimate the median and other quantile functions, accommodate non-local prior for regression effects without compromising ease of implementation via sampling based tools. We also extend our method to deal with some observations with very large errors. The link for the paper is https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.09100. This repository contains R code to select important variables using Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The code is available for public use.

abmr icon abmr

:exclamation: This is a read-only mirror of the CRAN R package repository. abmR — Agent-Based Models in R

absorption-ratio-trading-strategy icon absorption-ratio-trading-strategy

Notebook which calculates absorption ratio, a predictor of economic systemic shock, through decomposition of PCA and AE. The intent is to compare the efficacy of these two strategies in this notebook

absorptionratio_tradingstrategy icon absorptionratio_tradingstrategy

This project studies and tests the absorption ratio model, which is largely based on PCA. The goal is to test if this trading strategy is more profitable than the benchmark equal weight trading strategy.

acm-term-premia-matlab icon acm-term-premia-matlab

Code from my Master's dissertation: An implementation of Adrian et al's method for estimating the term premium in bond yields via linear regressions.

acm-term-premium icon acm-term-premium

Pricing the term structure with linear regression (Replication of Adrian, Crump, Moench 2013 JFE paper)

acm_term_premia icon acm_term_premia

Code for Adrian, Crump and Mönch's 'Pricing the term structure with linear regressions' (2013), courtesy of Emanuel Mönch

acm_term_premium-python icon acm_term_premium-python

ACM Term Premium Calculation Replication. https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/data_indicators/term_premia.html

adaptive-ewa-wavelets icon adaptive-ewa-wavelets

To fit the signals better with adaptive EWA to weaken both the edge effect and compression problem

afrimacro-nowcast_gdp icon afrimacro-nowcast_gdp

Attempting to make Nowcasts for sub-saharan countries using High Frequency Economic Data and Satellite images

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