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zzzcy-coder's Projects

barra-model icon barra-model

An internship project: Implement Barra model to take risk or style factor attribution based on multi-factor model.

barra_cne5 icon barra_cne5

Provide risk forecasts by Barra China Equity Model

handson-ml icon handson-ml

A series of Jupyter notebooks that walk you through the fundamentals of Machine Learning and Deep Learning in python using Scikit-Learn and TensorFlow.

pcaapplied_and_european_yield_curve icon pcaapplied_and_european_yield_curve

This paper aims to explore the time series’ proprieties of the features extracted by using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) technique on the European AAA-rated Government Bond Yield curve. The PCA can greatly simplify the problem of modelling the yield curve by massively reducing its dimensionality to a small set of uncorrelated features. It finds several applications in finance and in the fixed income particularly from risk management to trade recommendation. After selecting a subset of Principal Components (PCs), this paper first analyzes their nature in comparison to the original rates and the implications in terms of information retained and lost. Then the time-series characteristics of each PC are studied and, when possible, Auto-Regressive Moving-Average (ARMA) models will be fitted on the data. One hundred observations of the original dataset are set aside as a test set to evaluate the predictive power of these models. Eventually, further analyses are performed on the PCs to evaluate the presence of heteroscedasticity and GARCH-ARCH models are fitted when possible. Tests are performed on the fitted coefficient to investigate the real nature of the conditional variance process.

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