Perceptions of Probability and Numbers
This Reddit post made the Longlist for the 2015 Kantar Information is Beautiful Awards: Link
About
These are a couple of polls inspired by the Sherman Kent CIA study shown in the images below (discussion in this thread). I was super happy when they matched up.
The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number] would you assign to the phrase "[phrase]"? I have the raw CSV data from the poll in this repository.
Gallery
Sherman-Kent Study:
/r/Samplesize Data:
Tools
The data was compiled with R, and graphed in ggplot2.
Source
This data was gathered using Reddit's /r/samplesize community.