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dataviz's Introduction

dataviz

Data visualization system

Dataviz exports data from BigQuery, forecast time series, and visualize them in Grafana.

Requirements

  • Google Cloud service account JSON key file
  • Python 3.7
  • Docker Compose

Installation

  1. Run init.sh file. It will create Python virtual environment and install Airflow. source init.sh
  2. Put JSON key file to secrets directory.
  3. Run docker-compose up

Using Dataviz

Open Airflow UI at 0.0.0.0:8080. Сonsequently run "extract", "training" and "inference" dags.

"extract" imports data from BigQuery to local Postres database. "training" training trains AutoARIMA forecaster for "daily_confirmed_cases" time series. "inference" creates forecast for configured horizon.

Further, open Grafana at 0.0.0.0:3000. It will visualize actual and forecasted data for "daily_confirmed_cases".

Ways to improve performance

Model

We could try different approaches to improve forecasting performance:

  • Compartmental epidemiological models, e.g. SEIRD
  • Fine-tuned ARIMA instead of AutoARIMA
  • Facebook Prophet
  • Stack different models to obtain better predictive performance

Infrastucture

  • Automate training set definition
  • Use Apache Superset instead of Grafana
  • Use model registry (e.g. MLFlow) instead of database for model storing
  • Log model validation in experiment tracking system instead of Airflow logs
  • Make more informative and prettier plots

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