rhtweedie/modelled_mpf_with_advection

A model of melt-pond fraction as a function of latitude and sea-ice roughness, using advected roughness.

Summer Arctic melt-pond fraction predicted by advected Spring sea-ice roughness

MSci Geophysics
Supervisor: Dr Michel Tsamados
May 2024

This repository develops a new model for Summer melt-pond fraction as a function of latitude and Spring sea-ice roughness. A process for advecting sea-ice to improve predictions is also included.

The main code for carrying out the advection is in forward_sir.py, which advects sea-ice by a set number of days, calculating melt-pond fractions and sea-ice roughnesses for advected cells. forward_floes.ipynb provides a more interactive version of this script, and plots the advection figures in Section 3.1.

get_monthly_means.py calculates mean monthly melt-pond fractions for the Arctic region for years included in this study.

latitude_model_analysis.ipynb develops the melt-pond fraction model and conducts a leave-one-out analysis.

report_figures.ipynb plots the figures included in the report.

archive/ contains code used in the development of the final scripts and work done along the way which was not included in the final report.