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Using machine learning to predict the result of an NBA game

Jupyter Notebook 30.35% HTML 68.82% R 0.69% Python 0.14%

nba-prediction-models's Introduction

nba-prediction-models

Final project for Practical Data Science (15-388) at Carnegie Mellon University, created by Eric Lee, Derek Young, and Kevin Yang.

We retrieved NBA game data from 1946-2016 to create a model for predicting the result (W/L) of an NBA game. We tried a variety of features, including the altitude of the court, whether the game was a back-to-back, rolling win percentage, in addition to other standard features. Out of the three models we tried (Linear Regression, Logistic Regression, and Support Vector Machine), Linear Regression performed the best (1% better than Naive approach on holdout set). In the future, we would like to consider more player-specific data to improve our model.

Please see NBA_Game_Predictions_Final_Report.ipynb for all of our data processing, exploratory data analysis, and final results.

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